NBA summer leagues shed more light on the draft
Basketball Betting Lines
07/16/2010 -
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - This year's rookie crop got its first taste of
the NBA in the recently completed Orlando Summer League and the one in Las
Vegas which concludes on Sunday. Though it's not the competition the player
will see in the regular season, you can still get a good feel of the skill and
talent level in this setting.
In watching these games, it wasn't difficult to come away with some of the
steals and blunders of the draft. Here's some of the talent that stood out to
me in good and bad ways:
WASHINGTON WIZARDS: John Wall exhibited the talent that earned him the first
overall pick, but the point guard will have to cut down on the high turnover
totals that plagued him in college along with working on his perimeter game.
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS: Evan Turner, by his own admission, struggled pretty badly
in Orlando. He was used to controlling the ball at Ohio State and didn't
seem comfortable playing off the ball with Jrue Holliday running the offense.
Holliday, by the way, looks like he's really ready to make a real impact this
season.
NEW JERSEY NETS: Power forward Derrick Favors looked like the project he was
labeled before the draft. He needs a lot of work on his post-up game and mid-
range jumper. I think DeMarcus Cousins would've been a better choice at this
spot. New Jersey's second pick of the first round, Damion James, was very
impressive and looks like he's ready to make more of an impact than Favors in
his first season.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES: Wesley Johnson had problems creating his own shot off
the dribble, which is something you definitely don't want to see from the
fourth overall pick in the draft. I have a strong feeling the T-wolves will
regret this selection.
SACRAMENTO KINGS: Sacramento has to be thrilled with the play of Cousins, its
first-round pick. He scored inside and out, rebounded and passed the ball
extremely well while showing a really good feel for the game. The former
Kentucky center could turn out to be the second-best player in the draft.
DETROIT PISTONS: Greg Monroe did not look comfortable working in the low post.
He appears to have a small forward's game in a power forward's body.
UTAH JAZZ: A lot of people questioned Utah's selection of Gordon Hayward with
the ninth overall pick, and his play in Orlando showed why. He struggled to
get his shot off and his lack of foot speed hurt him on defense. I thought
Paul George would have been a much better choice than Hayward.
INDIANA PACERS: Speaking of George, he was clearly one of the standout players
in the summer league. His athleticism, size and length will be assets along
with his excellent basketball skills. George was selected 10th overall, but
looks like he should have gone a bit higher. And speaking of going
higher, Indiana's second-round pick (40th overall), Lance Stephenson, looks
like he should have gone much earlier in the draft. Character questions scared
off a lot of teams, but there doesn't seem to be much doubt about his skill
set.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS: The defending champs didn't select until 43rd and 58th
picks overall, but it looks like they came away with some NBA talent in small
forward Devin Ebanks and power forward Derrick Caracter. Ebanks showed good
play on both ends of the floor, while Caracter's play had me wondering how
this kid lasted until the third-to-last pick in the draft. He can score with
either hand around the basket, has a nice mid-range touch and showed the
ability to pass the ball out of the post, which is helpful in the Lakers'
triangle offense.
BOSTON CELTICS: Luke Harangody was one of the standouts in summer league play
and looks like one of the draft's big steals after being taken 52nd overall.
The Notre Dame power forward showed the willingness to bang inside and the
ability to step outside and hit 3-pointers.
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Betting the NFL preseason
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on football needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
Chiefs' Treen Green out for Sunday's game
How long Trent Green will remain sidelined is unknown. Coach Herm Edwards said Monday he will miss a second straight start Sunday when the Chiefs host the San Francisco 49ers.
A two-time Pro Bowler, Green was going into a feet-first hook slide when he was knocked unconscious by a thunderous, head-snapping hit from Cincinnati's Robert Geathers.
Oddsmakers at online sportsbook MySportsbook.com currently have the Chiefs listed as 7-point favorites versus the 49ers.
The 49ers got beat by Philadelphia 38-24 as a 6.5-point underdog last week. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (42.5).
Alex Smith completed 27-of-46 passes for 293 yards with a touchdown. Michael Robinson rushed for 29 yards and a pair of touchdowns on five carries.
The Chiefs lost 9-6 to Denver last week as an 11-point underdog. The combined score was well UNDER the posted over/under total (38).
Larry Johnson rushed for 126 yards on 27 carries. Damon Huard completed 17-of-23 passes for 133 yards with no touchdowns and no interceptions.
To visit this online sports book got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting needs.
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